Bad Neighborhood? Check the Cartogram
Safety was one of my top concerns for some of the neighborhoods I surveyed, but reliable and useful information seemed out of reach. I heard plenty of anecdotal evidence about how terrible or tolerable certain neighborhoods were, but I had to take that advice with a grain of salt. The official crime data, which is overlaid on maps online, wasn't very helpful either.
Typical crime maps allow the user to see a selection of crimes (e.g. robbery, homicide, and theft) in a small radius for the past 30 days. But these maps don't account for population density, so they don't give the user a good idea of the likelihood of becoming a crime victim in a particular neighborhood.
Thankfully, a team of Argentinian physicists has combined population densities and geographic data to create crime cartograms – a much more efficient way to quickly assess a region's safety.
Cartograms allow researchers to visualize a single variable, such as population or crime frequency, as geographic size on a map. For instance, the cartogram above looks similar to a traditional map of the United States, but the states have been re-sized to reflect their populations.
Herein lies the usefulness of cartograms: viewers can quickly attribute the size of a map's region to a chosen variable. Additionally, cartograms can color code regions with another variable, such as the voting preference of a particular state, allowing two layers of data visualization.
Although cartograms have been around for awhile, they started off looking pretty clunky. With newer software, however, researchers can now create cartograms that maintain the map's general shape while accurately representing the underlying data.
Argentina-based physicists Karina I. Mazzitello and Julian Candia decided to apply this method to homicide rates throughout Brazil. While the cartograms made problem areas more readily apparent, they also allowed the researchers a glimpse into what may contribute to higher crime rates.
The usefulness of the cartograms is probably best explained visually (All of the following images are courtesy Karina I. Mazzitello and Julian Candia via their arXiv article):
Cartogram with Population Density
Cartogram with Socio-Economic Data
I think it would be fascinating to create crime cartograms for U.S. cities, allowing people to better evaluate crime rates at the neighborhood level. Although this requires quite a bit of data fetching and programming knowledge, it certainly can be done.
Crime data is available online for many large metropolitan areas, and researchers have provided the tools to create cartograms. Looks like I've got some homework to do for the next time I decide to move.
If you want to keep up with Hyperspace, AKA Brian, you can follow him on Twitter.
So where did you end up moving in DC? I've come across a site at radicalcartography.net that had a map of the density-weighted intensity of violent crime in DC. I found it useful when giving people advice as to where to move.
Friday, December 7, 2012 at 5:13 PM